On September 1, SAP SE fell 3.15% in regular trading, trading at $213.735/share, with turnover of $192 million. The decline comes as UBS recently downgraded SAP from Buy to Neutral, citing a lack of meaningful AI-driven business catalysts as the core rationale.
UBS analysts noted that SAP's slow delivery pace of agentic AI solutions to customers has limited monetization opportunities, increasing the likelihood that clients opt for do-it-yourself AI adoption in the interim. While UBS raised its target price from 164 euros to 201 euros, it flagged a high probability of cloud backlog growth deceleration in the second half, alongside the first decline in cloud gross margins since 2021. AI token costs were also cited as an emerging drag on profitability.
Further compounding the pressure, SAP lowered its full-year profit guidance during its Q2 earnings report, with AI-related acquisition costs eroding earnings expectations. The stock has now retreated approximately 21% from its 52-week high of $242, and investor sentiment remains fragile as the market awaits clearer signs of AI monetization progress ahead of the next earnings release on October 21.
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